So last night I sent one of my usual, quick follow-up emails to a client, asking if they had any news for me on an outstanding proposal. It’s my typical quick follow-up email, not too much small talk, no brown-nosing stuff, just a quick: “hey there Sir, let me know if you have any news on X?”
I got back this, equally standard response: “Won’t likely know until end of week for sure. 60% unlikely at this point.”
I could not help but ask: why not say “there’s a 40% probability,” or “I’d give it a 40% chance.”
Why the 60% unlikely vantage point? Can’t be because that’s the higher likelihood? I mean, Jack Welch used to say that he fired 10% of this staff, he did not say he would keep 90% of the best ones, know what I mean?
I am probably giving way too much thought to that, but that struck me as odd.
Then again, I am the eternal optimist.