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category: business
01 Dec 2006
related tags: Management |

If anyone’s got any info:

James Kim (CNET’s senior editor of digital audio) and his family (wife Kati, young girls Penelope and Sabine) have gone missing driving a 2005 silver Saab stationwagon with license plate “DOESF” from their home in the SF Bay Area to Seattle.  Last heard from Saturday in or between Gold Beach or Portland, Oregon.

Please contact the SFPD at 415-558-5508 during normal business hours, and 415-553-1071 after hours.

The official missing person report can be found here.

More here (picture).

category: business
30 Nov 2006

Using MySpace to brag about your deviance is so 2005… nowadays it’s all about posting it on YouTube:

Police took up pursuit in cyberspace after a young Norwegian posted on the Internet video of his wild car driving. Following an electronic trail that he left online, police caught him and slapped him with real-life fine $1,300.

The Norwegian, identified only as a man in his early 20s, posted the video called “Driving in Norway” on Google Inc.’s popular video-sharing site YouTube. The recording showed the car’s speedometer hitting up to 150 miles - 240 kilometers - per hour on a public highway near Oslo.

“We’re touching 240,” a voice could be heard saying. “We know it will do it. This is a little nice.”

The video was removed from the Web site after it made national news in Norway last week.  “It is disturbing that young people test high speeds on highways like that, and then, on top of it, use the Net to boast about the misdeed afterward,” said Morten Hassel of the district police’s traffic unit. 

Read more.

category: business
30 Nov 2006
related tags: Uncategorized |

Well, as always, I should be writing this tomorrow, Dec 1st. 

But we’re already planning a few hits for December.  Indeed it’s hard to keep the hits coming, but after our best month ever (October), November was even better: 35% 40% growth in traffic… I was speaking to someone this morning who asked me what the business model for Hipmojo was.  I explained that Hipmojo was one blog within a blog network, that in turn was one unit of a larger digital media company, Mojo Supreme.  So to clarify, when I say traffic grew 35% 40%, I am referring to the entire network of media properties which are all housed under the WatchMojo.com brand.  This, however, excludes our search unit, that for a few reasons I intend on leaving on MetaMojo.com.

So Mojo Supreme is the parent company: all media is under WatchMojo.com, all search is under MetaMojo.com.

And, to top it off, one of our stories gets picked up by Yahoo!  Not too freaking bad at all…

More announcements to come…

category: business
30 Nov 2006

I was emailed by a lot of Adobe fans (and a few employees) as per why Adobe did not make the list of the best stocks of past, present and future.  In fact, others wondered why Adobe’s acquisition of Macromedia did not make our list of the best M&A deals?

Adobe’s mission has always been to help people and businesses communicate better. Macromedia’s mission has been to provide a rich media experience. Together, it seemed like a natural fit.  But Adode bought out its major competitor, in some ways to “enable the creation and delivery of compelling content and experiences across multiple operating systems, devices and media.”  In laymen’s terms, the company of yesterday bought the company of tomorrow: desktop publishing specialist Adobe Systems bought multimedia applications maker Macromedia.

Adobe - which makes the Photoshop and Illustration graphic design programs, amongst many other desktop tools - is a company I have long admired, owned and only recently sold as its stock touched $40 per share.  The stock had risen 24% since September, after all.  It’s also a stock I would probably get back into at lower levels.  Everyone points to the success of YouTube - which uses flash video - as sign that Adobe is invincible.  But, the fact is that Adobe acquired flash video in the Macromedia deal, which was not cheap.  While Adobe’s CEO Bruce Chizen gets a lot of credit for integrating two widely disparaging cultures, the fact remains that there is much risk on Adobe/Macromedia’s horizon.

- Piracy: Adobe is particularly vulnerable to piracy due to psychological/sociological reasons than, say a Microsoft.  MSFT’s clients are businesses who might not want to run the risk of running pirated versions.  Adobe, on the other hand (especially its Macromedia unit) has creative clients who might not share such compunctions.  I highly doubt a novice web designer will lose sleep over using a borrowed or copied version of Macromedia for example.

- Free web services: Adobe is also very vulnerable because the Macromedia acquisition now makes it compete with a plethora of free web services.  Sure, Macromedia is a very compelling suite of applications, but nothing beats free!

For example, when Forbes rants and raves about Yahoo!’s acquisition of Shortcut, whose:

easy-to-use, drag-and-drop interface makes the once-intimidating exercise of editing video footage accessible to an audience far larger than the relatively small pool of tech-savvy video enthusiasts who have editing software on their PCs. Jumpcut enables users to take video clips, photos and other visual content to produce a “movie,” complete with music, sound effects and customized on-screen titles.

Sure, a professional probably might not be caught dead using such free services for newbies, favoring Adobe’s Premiere, for example, but again, nothing beats free… and before one becomes a pro he or she is a novice.  By competing with free services, I am not so sure over time Macromedia will become a great acquisiton.  This is not a knock against the company or product, au contraire, as an innovator of some of the greatest digital products out there, it was no surprise that Adobe paid $3.4 billion for Macromedia… but imitation is the nicest form of flattery and many free imitators are starting to creep up.

The future of web services is edging towards an open, ad supported model.  Right or wrong this strategy is, time will tell.  But the signals indicate that consumers will look far and wide to avoid paying for software if they could.  Microsoft will probably have a free, ad supported “light” Office productivity system before long.

I am not alone in my reserved feeling on Adobe: An analyst on Thursday recommended investors sell shares of software maker Adobe Systems Inc., calling the stock too expensive and Wall Street’s expectations for new product sales overly aggressive.

American Technology Research analyst Brad Manuilow initiated coverage of Adobe with a “Sell” rating and a $33 price target, suggesting a 17.5% decline in value.

Disclosure: I own shares in YHOO at time of writing.  I have owned shares of Adobe in the past.

category: business
30 Nov 2006

My last employer, IGN, was a major player in in-game advertising.  IGN has three divisions: media properties, digital distribution and in-game advertising.

I loved the unit and saw it as a major wild card in the company’s mid to long term prospects (along with digital distribution, which Fox Interactive Media - who acquired IGN for $650m last year - is now increasingly leveraging outside of News Corp.).  A little anecdote: my old boss told me that when Fox executives invited MySpace and IGN to discuss strategy, the guys at Fox were floored by some of the things coming out of the IGN in-game advertising unit’s football tie-in… and FOX owned the rights to the NFL folks!

There’s a lot of noise coming out of this space now.  Business Week had an interesting write up recently on the spike in ad dollars being placed online.

This is one of the many reasons I loved Electronic Arts and over the years had bought and sold, and made a little bit of coin, if I daresay so.  It’s also why I hated selling the stock, because in addition to selling games, they can slowly but surely enter the advertising market and as a leader in video game publishing, can be at the forefront of the industry.  To put things into context: IGN’s technology allows game publishers tap into this revenue stream.

Just one reason why ERTS is one of the Top 10 Best Tech/Web Stocks of the Past, Present and Future.

Disclosure: At the time of writing, we do not own shares in ERTS, but have in the past and might again in the future.  News Corp. is involved in litigation against our company.

category: business
30 Nov 2006
related tags: Internet and Web | Internet & Web |

Very interesting overview and trecap of the ad network landscape from Tacoda Systems’ Dave Morgan, formerly founder of ad network Realmedia. 

I personally expect a lot of consolidation, not just the large ones acquiring the smaller networks, but also driven by companies looking to quickly enter and capitalize on online ads: MSFT, IAC looking to add reach, technology etc.

Here is Dave Morgan’s post.

Here is our analysis of Blue Lithium’s potential value.

category: business
30 Nov 2006
related tags: Startups | Financing | Management |

Union Square Ventures’ Fred Wilson does a great service to all entrepreneurs by breaking down the art of venture capital into a science:

- Intro
- Early Stage Investing
- Traction
- Lead Investor
- Deal Size
Geography

It should be noted that these are USV’ policies and philosophies, but his explanations and rationales certainly help demystify the VC game.

category: business
30 Nov 2006
The Bivings Report (TBR) - whom I had not heard of until seeing this today - is a source of news, insight, research and analysis on the web-based communications industry. TBR content is posted, created and managed by internet strategists, media/communications analysts, web developers, designers and programmers, all of whom are employees of The Bivings Group.
We’ve written in the past about what newspapers and magazines should be doing.  In our opinion, magazines missed out on the Web’s first massive growth stage and might be missing out again…
It’s interesting piece on what magazines are doing, The Bivings Report’s conclusion is that the magazines are doing more than the newspapers, though we think one is doing little and the other is not doing enough (who’s who, both descriptions apply to both parties).
Anyway, here are some key findings from their research:
  • The most common online feature offered by magazines is RSS feeds (48 per cent). All of the RSS feeds offered by magazine websites are partial feeds. In addition, none of the magazines are including advertisements in their RSS feeds, while just 28 per cent of magazines divide their RSS feeds into different sections.
  • Message boards/forums are offered by 46 per cent of magazine websites. This seemingly old-fashioned form of communication is extremely popular on magazine websites, particularly on the sites of women’s magazines.
  • 38 per cent of the magazines require registration to view all of the site’s content. While this feature is only present on 23 per cent of the nation’s top 100 newspaper sites, it seems that magazines are still heavily reliant on website registration. It must be noted, however, that newspaper and magazine online registration is very different. The large majority of the magazines we investigated allow users to view article content free of registration. However, to participate in forums, registration is required. This seems to serve as a mechanism for monitoring content that people post on message boards rather than to collect demographic information, as is the case with newspapers. Thus, this 38 per cent figure largely represents magazines that require forum registration, not registration for the purpose of reading articles.
  • 38 per cent of the magazines offer at least one reporter blog. Readers can comment on 16 of the 19 magazine blogs, while eight reporter blogs offer blogrolls, or external links to other blogs.
  • Video is an offering on 34 per cent of websites.
  • Just 14 per cent of websites use podcasts and bookmarking; eight percent allow comments on articles; and six per cent use tags.

Read more.

category: business
30 Nov 2006

One of the things I love about writing this blog is that I get a lot of great questions from people who are both more and less experienced than I am. It makes for a good exchange.

Oftentimes I find myself on the receiving end of the learning process. It is so cliche to say that but it’s true. Anyway, recently, I have been getting a bunch of emails from people who say: “I have an idea for a feature/application/product, now what?” It’s a great question. Forget whether these features are the foundation of an actual business. These days a lot of entrepreneurs manage to build an application and flip it. If that’s what drives you, then it’s important to know how to build IT right.

In this post, we’ll only look at the product development end of things when you dream up a cool application. In other words, unless you are a technologist like Pierre Omidyar (who built eBay over Labor Day weekend ages ago), you will need to find someone to build it for you. I had my own case studies to draw from: first when I thought of MetaMojo.com, the domain specific vertical search engine, and then StreetMojo.com, the marketplace matching consumers looking for free stuff with marketers and companies looking to offer free stuff. The two projects were very different, but I learned some very important lessons that you simply cannot learn until you go through them.

1 – Eureka! Need vs. Want? 

You have an idea? Great. Everyone has ideas, but only a few actually act upon it. If you do, you are an entrepreneur. The first question you should ask yourself is: does it solve a need?

If not, will people want this? The difference between want and need is that [sadly] we have finite needs but infinite wants. If you can serve a need or offer people what they want, you can build a successful company. But once you think of something, take a step back and sit down: you’re not alone. Allow me to tell you one thing that I have learned to be true: there is no such thing as “no one else is doing” this or that. The concept that you are the first to do something, or think of something, is simply practically impossible: Marconi and Tesla were simultaneously working on the radio… the radio!

There are 6 billion people out there now. Sure, a tiny fraction of that number represents people as clever and ingenious as you, but the fact is, out of 6 billion people in 200 countries speaking 1,000s of dialects, someone has thought of something somewhat similar to your brainchild.

So my advice to you is stop everything you are doing and research what you are attempting to create. Case in point: in 2004 I got the “brilliant idea” of writing a screenplay on Alexander the Great’s life. I thought it was genius. The greatest secular figure in history… a “Sandals and Swords” movie about him coming on the heels of Gladiator? Are you kidding me? I thought of concurrently writing my acceptance speech at the Oscar’s. But, for once, instead of banging out the script, I decided to actually - crazy idea! - research online to see if anyone else had thought of this before me. Hmm… someone did.

There was a movie in 1956 starring Richard Burton. All right, I thought, I wasn’t born then, how could I know? So I searched some more and found out that both Leonardo Dicaprio and Colin Farrell were cast to play Alexander in an upcoming movie. Two Alexanders? Two [more] people had already thought about this genius idea. Obviously, a film on the greatest secular figure in history seems like a no-brainer… though the movie flopped (though had more to do with execution; i.e. if you are going to do a movie on someone named “the Great,” you might want to address the acts, events and traits that made him great, but who am I to question Oliver North). But being a hardheaded individual, I decided instead to write a book. Naturally I knew there would be plenty of books, so I decided to tweak the formula and write a book on Alexander the Great written from the first person narrative, and broken up into 33 chapters/lessons that make him great. He died one month short of his 33rd birthday.

Lesson to you: tweak your idea given the competition and do something unique. We’re not advising you not to pursue your dreams, but understand that you probably need to:

 

a) study the market,

b) analyze the competition and

c) tweak your idea a bit.

The best part is, sometimes you come up with something better.

 

2 – Have a Problem to Solve; How to go About? 

When I thought of building either the search engine or the community product, I knew that I could never build this out myself. As such, this article helps out the business or marketing person who cannot program the back-end application. Even if you can though, unless you are very good, it’s not a bad idea to hire someone else to do the heavy lifting. But, where to start?

Sites like Rent a Coder are good places to start. As is a service like Craigslist. The instant you put up a post, you will get a dozen emails from outsourced shops. Personally, I advise against this. Frankly, I have nothing against outsourcing, it’s a great option for many things but I would never advise someone to outsource something that represents the core of your idea. Not all outsourcing programmers are offshore, though many are. In the event you are considering an offshore person (or firm), do not kid yourself, the time zone change, cultural differences and language barriers will make a difference.

Furthermore, you need someone to sit down and see what you are talking about, you need to show them things you like and dislike about other sites and applications online, so I suggest you find someone you can meet in person. This is not to suggest that local people come with no baggage. Unless you are in an IT haven, it might be difficult to find someone with the technology know-how to pull off your project, and even if you do, there is a strong chance that they will charge too much for your liking and perhaps, have too many projects going on at once to really give you the proper time of day.

The flip side, of course, is that many programmers take a cue from the Mark Cuban school of IT Sales and will tell you they know something, only to go and learn it afterwards and practice on your project. This is probably not the best route to take for you but it’s not fatal if the people are capable. In life, compromise comes into play. I have met some entrepreneurs with brilliant ideas whose projects stall because the guy they hired to build the application is taking longer that expected. I have also known others whose ideas take longer than expected because they are working with programmers who are juggling numerous projects.

To each their own, in my experience: you are better off working with someone who is a top notch developer and have him 33% of the time than having someone who is available 100% of the time but not as good. This is more of an art than science though, not black and white. All to say, eventually you find some people who meet most of your criteria, what then?

 

3 – Take Your Time 

The most important thing you should realize is that yes, time is money, but the only way this applies to you is that a bad programmer will cost you more time and money than taking the time to find a good programmer. Instead of rushing to give the mandate to someone who shows up on your doorstep on Day 1, take the time to post your project description in more places to get a good batch of candidates. Which raises the next point. 

4 – Spec It Out, but Be Discrete 

The legend of Facebook says that Mark Zuckerberg’s idea was not actually his. A couple of other students from Harvard were toying with launching a product similar to Facebook, but Zuckerberg beat them to the punch. In other words, it is important to be somewhat discrete.

The problem is some companies take this to the extreme and remain in stealth mode for years. That is a foolish thing to do since the best way to judge if you are on the right track is by throwing something on the wall and seeing if it sticks. Alas, be careful, but you be the judge: you are better off posting a broad description of the skills and programming languages you are looking for than outright telling people what your idea is.

 

5 – Do Your Homework 

Even if you are not a technologist, you have to understand that you will need to have some idea of programming languages and different platforms you can use. You need to be somewhat aware of what is available in terms of open source software.

You are not expected to know how to use them, but if a programmer recommends one and not another, you should understand why.

I knew for example the fundamentals having worked in search and online publishing and reading quite a bit on software, hardware, major trends. The more you know… the better.

 

6 – Get a Second Opinion 

Unless you find someone whom you can really trust, whenever someone sends you a quote or proposal, the wise thing to do is to cross reference with someone else. It never hurts to have more ideas tackle a problem. There is so much information online that you can always catch up and learn as you go. Anything you are told, you should double check yourself, but do not necessarily trust everything you read on message boards (example: type anything with “sucks” and something is bound to come up). 

7 – Trust Your Gut 

When it comes to deciding which person to choose for a project, a job, oftentimes you need to trust your gut. I cannot stress this one enough. On this, I personally prefer to work with honest people who are solid, even if I cannot have them 100% of the time. 

8 – Not Everyone Has Heard of Under Promise, Over Deliver 

I like to over promise and over deliver, because then it forces me to go all out and deliver the goods, but if you don’t want to put your neck out on the line, then at least under-promise and over-deliver, unfortunately, many people who try to win your business will tell you that they can do things that they probably cannot… and that is bad news for your idea. It will set you back.

The reason why this is key is that if you outsource a project to someone, you will naturally have to pay a deposit. You cannot – even as the client – reasonably expect not to pony up a penny in IT development work. The problem is that in the event it does not pay off and the programmer cannot deliver the goods, indeed you will probably lose your deposit and have to fork out more to a new programmer, hence why I prefer going with someone who is professional even if they are not the cheapest or most available.

 

9 – Manage, Delegate, Trust 

This is one of the fundamental challenges of building technology applications, you have to ensure that your initial specs were as complete, thorough and rigorous as possible. Take screen captures of other sites you like, for example. The more you do at the pre-production stage, the smoother the development will go. Sort of like producing video, I’ve learned. 

10 – Test, Trial and Error 

As the development edges towards completion, you should always look out for small tweaks or large modifications. The chances are that there are some things that you forgot, some things that you should add, and some thing that you simply did not plan for. If you follow steps 1 through 9, then you can always build on your foundation and scale. Next week: so you have a working application, how to put the spotlight on it and drive traffic to it…   

category: business
29 Nov 2006

From Guy Kawasaki:

I am trying to evangelize the 10/20/30 Rule of PowerPoint. It’s quite simple: a PowerPoint presentation should have ten slides, last no more than twenty minutes, and contain no font smaller than thirty points.

Source.

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